Ryanair to fine unruly passengers €500 or more

The fines will be a "minimum" punishment, and it will continue to seek civil damages for compensation for the costs incurred in more serious cases.

Ryanair, Europe's largest airline, announced Thursday that it willimpose finesstarting at €500 ($579) on passengers whose disruptive behavior leads to their removal from a flight.

The budget carrier said it hopes the fine will serve as "a deterrent to eliminate this unacceptable behavior onboard our aircraft."

"It is unacceptable that passengers are made to suffer unnecessary disruption because of one unruly passenger's behavior," aRyanairspokesperson said.

Ryanair said disruptions were "caused by a tiny number of unruly passengers."

In one incident in January, the airline sought more than €15,000 in damages after a flight from Dublin to Lanzarote, in Spain's Canary Islands, was diverted to the Portuguese city of Porto due to a disruptive passenger.

A Ryanair flight from Glasgow to Krakow in June 2024 was diverted to Rzeszow, Poland, due to a disruptive passenger. The passenger  was convicted in court and fined €3,230.

The airline has amended its terms and conditions to allow fines to be "taken directly from the card used to make the booking."

Ryanair, which transported more than 200 million passengers between 2024 and 2025, had called on the European Union to limit the sale of alcohol at airports.

Far-right parties surge across Europe

While the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party continues to be isolated in the German political scene, similar populist parties are gaining momentum in other EU countries.

Germany's domestic intelligence agency, the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution (BfV), has classified theAlternative for Germany (AfD)as "confirmed right-wing extremist." Germany's other political parties want mostly nothing to do with it. Some politicians have evencalled for it to be banned.What does the situation look like inthe rest of Europe?

Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom (PVV) recently caused the four-party coalition that it led to collapse because it had not cracked down hard enough on migration in its view. "I proposed a plan to close the borders for asylum-seekers, to send them away, to shut asylum shelters. I demanded coalition partners sign up to that, which they didn't," Wilders told reporters. "I signed up for the strictest asylum policies, not for the demise ofthe Netherlands."

New elections are now planned for autumn.

Although his party became the strongest force in the parliamentary elections,Wildersdid not become head of government because he was deemed too radical by his coalition partners. Instead, independent politician Dick Schoof was nominated prime minister of the Netherlands.

If it were up to Wilders alone, he would ban all new mosques and the Quran. He is also a vocal critic of green strategies to tackle climate change, and he views the European Union as being too overbearing.

Wilders is in complete control of his party, of which he is the sole registered member; even deputies and ministers are officially only supporters of the PVV. This allows Wilders to decide on the party program alone and appoint all election candidates himself.

TheLaw and Justice party (PiS)was defeated in the parliamentary elections at the end of 2023; Donald Tusk, the liberal former European Council president, has governedPolandas prime minister since then. But the PiS holds the presidency, and can use a veto to put the brakes on government policy.

This has not changed since the presidential election at the end of May 2025,which was narrowly won by PiS-backed Karol Nawrocki,who ran an anti-European, and anti-German, campaign.

Generally, however, as a party the PiS is rather cautious in Brussels, since it knows that the funds from the EU are important for Poland. It has also positioned itself on Ukraine's side in the war with Russia and advocates a strong NATO presence against its powerful neighbor.

In terms of migration policy, however, the party shares the same hardline views of its European allies. On social issues, it is close to the Catholic Church in Poland and opposes the legalization of abortion, same-sex marriage and adoption.

Fidesz-Hungarian Civic Alliance is probably the most successful far-right party in Europe. Thanks to its leaderViktor Orban, the party was in power inHungarybetween 1998 and 2002 and continuously again since 2010. Founded in 1988, shortly before the collapse of communism, as a radical liberal force, the party remained on this course for a long time.

But Orban and his party has swung to the right since at least 2015, when German Chancellor Angela Merkel proclaimed a "welcome culture" for refugees. Fidesz is now explicitly in favor of illiberal democracy, seeing the "Christian West" as threatened by foreign infiltration and wanting to strongly limit the influence of the EU.

In stark contrast to the Polish PiS, the party has sought contact with Russia,despite the war in Ukraine, particularly on energy issues. Orban is also close to Russian President Vladimir Putin on an ideological level.

However, unlike similar parties, the party does recognize human-made climate change as a threat.

Smer was founded by currentSlovakian Prime Minister Robert Fico.Called Direction-Slovak Social Democracy, the party direction is clearly to the right and the social democracy it advocates has little to do with Germany's style of social democracy. Smer has warned that Slovakia is becoming too "foreign."

Fico has said that Muslims are not able to integrate and in 2016 he said that Islam had no place in Slovakia.

He has described the Ukrainians that Russia has attacked as "Nazis and fascists" and before the 2023 parliamentary elections, in which Smer emerged victorious, he announced that he would put an immediate stop to arms deliveries to Ukraine.

He went on to do this, claiming that NATO and the United States were responsible for Russia's attack on Ukraine. This triggered protests acrossSlovakia.

Fico's government has repeatedly criticized the EU's sanctions against Russia as being "meaningless and counterproductive."

Vox (Latin for voice), whose leader is Santiago Abascal, has risen fast since the party was founded in 2013. In the 2016 parliamentary elections, it won only 0.2% of the votes. This went up to 15% in 2019. Since then, its success has slumped somewhat.

The party is nonetheless the third strongest political force inSpainat the moment. However, it has never participated in a federal government. The conservative Partido Popular (Popular Party) might have been willing to form a coalition with it, but instead it was the socialist Pedro Sanchez who formed a government.

Vox's main concern is specific to Spain: The party believes that the self-government rights of autonomous communities such asCataloniaor the Basque Country should be revoked and that Spain should once again become a centralized state. There is also a particular Spanish flavor to the party's anti-immigration and anti-Islamic tones: Abascal has called for a new Reconquista. The first, which ended in 1492, was a series of campaigns waged by Christian rulers against Muslim kingdoms that had ruled the Iberian Peninsula for centuries.

At the beginning of February, Vox hosted a major event called "Make Europe Great Again" in the Spanish capitalMadrid.Participants included Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban and French far-right politician Marine Le Pen.

The Danish People's Party was founded in 1995 and had its most successful period in the 2000s and 2010s. With its anti-immigration, anti-globalization and anti-EU positions, combined with demands for a strong welfare state, it provided support for several center-right governments in the Danish capitalCopenhagen.Notably, it was able to push through a tightening of the asylum system.

But support for the party dwindled after 2019 as Denmark's Social Democrats, led by Mette Frederiksen, not only adopted its anti-asylum demands but also pushed them through. The People's Party only received 2.6% of the vote in the last parliamentary election in 2022. Theimmigration and asylum policyofDenmark'scurrent Social Democratic government is one of the toughest in Europe.

This article was originally written in German.

China, UK trade deals with Trump pile pressure on EU

Following Britain, China has struck a trade deal with the US, President Donald Trump has announced. Meanwhile, the EU is still pondering its way out of tariff hell, and US officials make clear it is back of the line.

After London comes Beijing:US President Donald Trumpannounced a breakthrough in talks with China to put an end to their rapidly escalating tariff war on Wednesday night, though the details of the agreement remain unclear, and key elements are still awaiting formal approval.

"Ourdeal with Chinais done, subject to final approval with President Xi [Jinping] and me," Trump wrote on his social media platform, Truth Social. "Full magnets, and any necessaryrare earths, will be supplied, up front, by China. Likewise, we will provide to China what was agreed to, including Chinese students using our colleges and universities (which has always been good with me!)"

One day later, the scope of the deal remains uncertain. Neither Trump nor US officials had clarified which tariffs might be lifted or what concessions were included, according to The Associated Press news agency. Negotiations appear to be ongoing.

Two months ago, Trump announced a blanket baseline 10%tariffson virtually all goods imported into the US, an event he dubbed "Liberation Day." Higher country-specific rates followed, with Chinese imports hit particularly hard.

Beijing immediately retaliated with sharp increases of its own, sending bilateral tariffs soaring — peaking at 145% in some cases — on a trade relationship worth $583 billion (approximately €503.5 billion) in 2024.

While recent negotiations have helped bring mutual tariffs down, tensions remain. As of mid-May,US tariffs on Chinese goodsaveraged 51%, while Chinese tariffs on US goods stood at 33%, according to the Peterson Institute for International Economics, a US think tank.

The UK and the US struck a much-vaunted deal in early May. However, tariffs on key goods remain in place, pending further implementation.

Compared to China,the EU has so far optedfor a rather restrained approach, with high-level officials engaged in intensive talks.

As of April, most EU exports to the US have faced 10% tariffs. Additional 25% duties on steel andaluminum, imposed in March, remain in effect. The bloc has so far avoided the higher rates slapped on China.

The EU waspoised to hit back with significant countermeasureson everything from whiskey to motorcycles and prepared a second package, though both have been paused as EU-US negotiations continue.

Brussels is pushing for a "zero-for-zero" trade agreement, aiming to eliminate tariffs on industrial goods. So far, talks have stalled. One of Trump's key complaints is the persistent trade imbalance.

In 2024, theUS imported significantly more goodsfrom the EU than it exported, with a trade deficit of $216 billion, according to official US figures. However, the EU frequently argues that the US sells far more services to the bloc than the other way round.

One option the European Commission, which as the EU executive branch represents the 27 member states in negotiations, has proposed is pushing EU companies and countries to buy more natural gas from the US, a shift that is already well under way since it turned away from Russia following its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

If all else fails for the EU and Trump resorts to50% tariffsor even higher rates, there has been some discussion of another more radical move from the EU.

"Should Europe retaliate if Trump's tariffs hit on 9 July, and how? If yes, then there seems to be general agreement that, beyond tariffs on goods, US digital services are the most likely and vulnerable target," Tobias Gehrke of the European Council on Foreign Relations posted late last month on social media platform Bluesky.

Gehrke pointed to the EU's Anti-Coercion Instrument, a legal framework which empowers the EU to target services and could limit US companies' access to public procurement contracts in Europe. It came into effect in 2023, but has never been used.

With talks ongoing, US Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick has indicated that the bloc is at the back of the line. "I'm optimistic that we can get there with Europe," Lutnick told US broadcaster CNBC on Wednesday. "But Europe will probably be at the very, very end."

On Thursday, US outlet Bloomberg reported that EU officials expect talks to extend beyond the current July 9 deadline, citing unnamed sources close to the negotiations.

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For negotiators, the pressure to wrap up a deal is enormous.

"We'll get this deal done in the best way possible," an EU official told DW on the condition of anonymity. "But it's very clear that not only in the EU institutions, but also around the member states, people just don't want to go through this anymore."

"In the volatile world we're in, everyone wants to have reliable trading partners, and the US just isn't that right now," the source added.

In the coming days, the G7 andNATO summitsin Canada and the Netherlands respectively, might have presented an opportunity for Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen to meet.

However, the European Commission said on Thursday that no bilateral meetings were currently planned.

"That could still change," Commission spokesperson Miriam Garcia Ferrer told reporters at a briefing in Brussels.

The cuppa that connects us: Coffee drinking across cultures

The beverage's global consumption has been rooted in culture, colonialism, rebellion — and TikTok fame.

Coffee's pop icon status is firmly established — from Starbucks' iconic Frappuccino turning 30 this year to the latestTiktoktrends leading us to try Dalgona or cloud coffee. But beyond fads, coffee has been brewed in ceremonies and sipped in salons across time and geography. Its history is steeped incolonialism; establishments serving it have also fueled revolutionary thinkers.

Today, rising global temperatures and erratic rainfall are hitting farmers hard, leadingcoffee prices to soar to record highs. But the beverage remains — at least for now — an intrinsic part of world culture. Here's a (non-exhaustive) look at how and why it came to be that around 2 billion cups of coffee are reportedly drunk daily worldwide.

Legend credits an Ethiopian goatherd named Kaldi with discovering coffee after he'd noticed his goats becoming frisky from eating red berries. While the story is likely apocryphal, coffee — namely the Arabica variety — is indeed native to Ethiopia's Kaffa region, where it still plays a ritual role.

The Ethiopian coffee ceremony, where beans are roasted over an open flame and brewed in a clay jebena, is a moment of pause, hospitality and community.

In Senegal, cafe Touba— infused with Guinea pepper and cloves — originated fromIslamic Sufi traditionsand is both a beverage and spiritual practice.

In Turkey, unfiltered coffee brewed in a copper cezve is often followed by a reading of the leftover grounds, a centuries-old tradition that is still cherished, even among Turkey's Gen Zs.

In Brazil, the cafezinho — a tiny, sweet shot of coffee — is a symbol of welcome, offered everywhere from homes to street corners.

Finally in 2020, as the world hunkered down during the COVID lockdown, South Korea's Dalgona coffee — instant coffee whipped with sugar and water — exploded on TikTok. Beyond aesthetics, the trend offered people a simple, soothing ritual.

Across cultures, coffee has taken wildly inventive forms. In Nordic countries like Finland and Sweden, black boiled coffee is sometimes poured over cubes of kaffeost, or "coffee cheese," made from cow or reindeer milk, in a centuries-old tradition.

Vietnam's ca phe trung (or egg coffee) blends whipped egg yolk with sweetened condensed milk — a wartime improvisation that is now ubiquitous.

Then there's Indonesia's kopi luwak, often called the "Holy Grail of Coffees," made from partially digested beans that have been eaten and defecated by the Asian palm civet. Though prized for its smooth, fermented flavor, kopi luwak has been ethically controversial. High demand has led some producers to cage and force-feed civets. Others now promote "wild-sourced" versions from free-roaming animals, but third-party verification has been inconsistent.

Coffee didn't just travel in sacks — it traveled with trade winds, spiritual journeys and imperial ambitions.

Though discovered in Ethiopia, the earliest written evidence of coffee cultivation points to Yemen. There, it earned the Arabic term "qahwa" — originally meaning wine — which gave rise to the words coffee and cafe.

Sufi mystics drank it to maintain spiritual focus during long night chants. The port of Mocha on Yemen's Red Sea coast became a center of trade, shipping beans across the Islamic world and into Asia.

Another legend says that an Indian Sufi saint, Baba Budan, smuggled seven fertile beans from Yemen to southern India in the 17th century, defying an Arab monopoly. That act seeded coffee plantations in Karnataka's Chikmagalur region.

Soon, European colonial powers also grasped the bean's potential. The Dutch planted it in Java, the French in the Caribbean and the Portuguese in Brazil — each expansion driven by empire and built on the backs of enslaved labor. Brazil, introduced to coffee in the 1700s, would grow into the world's largest producer.

Even Australia, a latecomer, has developed a robust coffee culture. Fun fact: Both Australia and New Zealand claim to have invented the flat white in the 1980s.

Throughout history, cafes have been more than watering holes — they've been incubators of ideas, art and revolution.

In 16th-century Istanbul, authorities repeatedly tried to ban them, fearing that caffeine-fueled gatherings could spark unrest.

InEnlightenment-era Europe, cafes offered a cup of coffee and a heady dose of radical thought, frequented by thinkers likeVoltaireandRousseau.

In colonial America, coffee became a patriotic substitute for British-taxedtea. Boston's Green Dragon Tavern, dubbed the "Headquarters of the Revolution," hosted meetings of the Sons of Liberty — activists who organized resistance against British rule, particularly unfair taxation and policies that eventually led to the American Revolution.

Over the past decades, cafes have returned as a "third place" — neither home nor office, but somewhere in between. Coffeehouses have also evolved into refuges for modern life.

In the early 1990s, when home internet access was not yet widespread, many cafes started providing public internet access, which drew people to start working from those spaces.

Meanwhile, other cafe owners came up with unusual perks for their businesses.

In Taipei, the world's first cat cafe — Cat Flower Garden — opened in 1998, giving urbanites a cozy space to sip and socialize among feline companions. The trend exploded in Japan and now thrives worldwide, where the blend of caffeine and calm continues to comfort overstimulated cities.

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Hungarian MEP: ‘We took democracy for granted’

Klara Dobrev is head of Hungary's opposition Democratic Coalition and former vice president of the European Parliament. DW spoke to her about the rise of illiberal democracy in Europe and current politics in Hungary.

DW:US President Donald Trump's admiration forHungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbanwas on full display at the recent CPAC gathering in Budapest, and the architects of Project 2025 say openly that they see Orban's illiberal democracy as the model for Trump's second presidency. What parallels do you see between Hungary and theUnited Statesright now?

Klara Dobrev:We took democracy for granted.

In 2010, we said: "If Orban doesn't deliver, then we will simply defeat him in the next elections." I have heard the same thing from my fellow democrats in the USA. It's not true.

These illiberals, they are attacking the institutions. They are attacking the checks and balances, the correction mechanisms of democracy. They attack themedia, they attack public administration, they attack civil organizations, they attack freedom of speech … You must be able to react on time, before it's too late.

What were the key red flags on the road to "illiberal democracy," and what are the moments of possibility for pushing back?

Dobrev:A politician comes to power in an election, but then there is a moment when he decides not to lose power; he decides to become an autocrat. This is a one-way road.

There is no turning back. That's what we saw withPutin. That's what we saw withLukashenko. That's what we saw withErdoganand that's what we saw with Orban.

Hungarywas once one of the best countries in Central Eastern Europe, with the highest living standards. Now, we are one of the poorest countries in the European Union.

Democracy is the only way you can secure the long-term wellbeing of people. If there is a mistake, you can correct it. If there is a bad policy, you can correct it. If there is no democracy, then you can't correct it.

Now, the tension is so big. People are living in very bad circumstances. We don't have migrant problems, we have the problem that everyone is leaving the country. I definitely think that in 2026 you can really put huge pressure on the government.

Viktor Orban's main political challenger isPeter Magyar, a former Fidesz insider. Why has the Hungarian left not been able to occupy that space?

Dobrev:In 2021, the united opposition (United for Hungary) was ahead of Fidesz in the polls. Unfortunately, a right-wing candidate started to talk against the left parties, and it destroyed this feeling of being united.

I strongly believe that the only way you defeat an illiberal populist is with a broad coalition of Democrats, Conservatives, Liberals, Greens, Social Democrats, Socialists. Together: That's the only way, and that's the only way you can govern a country later on.

This time, again, the opposition is leading. But it will not be enough if we cannot make a broad coalition. You have to bring everyone to the voting booth.

How can a broad coalition be kept together over an issue like defending theBudapestPride march, which is likely to be something supported by urban liberals, but not by more conservative sections of society?

Dobrev:We can have different values about a lot of things, but if you are a democrat, then you definitely must work on the basis thatPride cannot be banned, whatever your opinion about it.

When there is a red flag, there is a red flag. Every politician who considers himself a democrat has to be there on Pride.

That's why I invited the wholeEuropean Parliament. I invited all fellow members from different parties to come and show courage, to participate in Pride. This is exactly the moment when you as a politician have to set an example.

This month, the Hungarian government made a surprising concession: postponing a parliamentary vote onthe Transparency in Public Life billuntil after the summer recess. The bill, which would enable the government to fine — and potentially ban — NGOs, media outlets and journalists it deems to be receiving foreign money and acting against the national interest, has been heavily criticized by rights groups. What dangers do you see in the legislation?

Dobrev:It's not only freezing the funds, it's threatening the journalists or the owners of the media outlets with a fine which is 25 times the funding they receive. So, it's a personal threat, it's not a political threat.

In the 21st century, you don't have to put people in jail, you can silence them very easily.

When this law came out, the majority of the sponsors disappeared. So, you can just simply create an atmosphere where this kind of solidarity within society is not working anymore — and the same with the journalists and media outlets.

When autocracy goes into your soul, into your mind, you don't need external censors. I think the most dangerous attack is not the concrete penalty, the concrete fine. The biggest damage is to the mindset and the soul.

You're a former vice president of the European Parliament, currently a sitting MEP within the Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats (S&D) group. You've seen, from Brussels, how some €18 billion worth of funds have been withheld from Hungary over rule of law concerns. And yet, the democratic backsliding has continued. Has theEUgot it wrong? What would be a more effective approach toward Orban?

Dobrev:Even after 15 years of Orban, Hungarians are pro-European. It's over a thousand years of Hungarian history: We always wanted to be part of Europe, and always someone dragged us out, whether it was the Tartars, the Turks or the Russians.

So, if you put the question in black and white: "Orban or Europe?" then the majority of the people would choose Europe.

It's so painful for me to say this, but Orban could never have built his illiberal regime without European funding, which was coming into the country for 10 years without any proper controls.

All his oligarchs, friends, son-in-law, father — their wealth was stolen from European taxpayers, and it was stolen from the Hungarian people. And with this wealth, they bought the media outlets, they bought the critical companies in energy, in telecommunications, in the banking sector. They bought the land, they bought the country.

That's why we are saying that until these controls are built in, the money should remain in Brussels.

It's there, it's for Hungary, but it cannot go anymore to the Orban family and the Orban oligarchs.

Brussels should really show that Europe is a union of values and democracy, not simply a bunch of countries.

The full interview with Klara Dobrev MEP can be heard onDW's Inside Europe podcast.

Oil prices soar as Iran-Israel tensions shake global economy

Israel's attack on Iran has jolted financial markets, as fears grow of a regional conflict that could disrupt oil supplies. The tensions come at a time of heightened uncertainty, driven by Trump's tariff policies.

The economic fallout ofIsrael'sattack onIran'snuclear and ballistic missile facilities in the early hours of Friday was swift. Oil prices spiked and investors shifted out of stocks and into safe-haven assets, including government bonds and gold.

Crude oil futures jumped by as much as 13% as traders bet thatIsrael's attackwould not be a one-off. The Brent global benchmark for oil prices surged more than 10% to $75.15 per barrel, hitting its highest price in almost five months.

A war of words between the two foes fueled fears of a protracted conflict, with Israeli Prime MinisterBenjamin Netanyahuvowing that the military operation would "continue for as many days as it takes to remove this threat," referring to Tehran developing nuclear weapons.

Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, meanwhile, warned that Israel must expect "harsh punishment" for its strikes.

Asian and European stocks declined at the open, with Germany's DAX index hit hardest. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq opened about one percentage point lower later Friday, as traders continued to pour into less-risky investments.

In Europe, the travel and leisure sector was hit hard, energy stocks rallied, along with defense giants, including Rheinmetall and BAE, which spiked between 2-3%.

"The effects of the attack have cascaded across global markets, with a strong risk-off move for several asset classes," wrote Deutsche Bank analysts in a research note.

The analysts said the strikes had spurred "significant fears about an escalation and a wider regional conflict."

Israel and Iran have closed their airspace, along withIraqandJordan. Several airlines canceled flights to the region, as fears rose that the conflict could bring down a plane.

Globally, six commercial aircraft have been shot down unintentionally since 2001, with three near-misses in that time, according to aviation risk consultancy Osprey Flight Solutions.

Rerouting flights, however, is a costly exercise, as it increases journey times and planes require additional fuel.

Fears of further retaliatory attacks by Iran have forced Israeli airlines to relocate some of their planes overseas from Tel Aviv's Ben Gurion Airport.

Flight tracking data showed several jets leaving Tel Aviv on Friday morning local time. Some were flown to Cyprus and elsewhere in Europe, without passengers.

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The Israeli shekel currency slid nearly 2% against the dollar on Friday as Israel announced a "special state of emergency," which appeared to spur some panic buying.

Social media accounts showed scenes of large crowds at supermarkets and empty shelves for some foods.

Israeli media outlet Ynet cited supermarket chain Carrefour reporting a 300% increase in footfall on Friday.

An all-out war between Israel and Iran could disrupt energy markets and trade routes in the region, which would have ripple effects globally.

The Middle East isa major global oil-producing region, home to some of the world's largest oil reserves and producers.

Iran is the third-largest oil producer in the region, behind Saudi Arabia and Iraq. Despite international sanctions on its oil exports, the Islamic Republic still delivers significant amounts of crude to China and India.

Barclays analyst Amarpreet Singh warned in a research note that in a worst-case scenario, "the conflict could expand to other key oil and gas producers in the region, and shipping."

All eyes are now on the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow waterway between Iran, the United Arab Emirates and Oman, a key choke point for the global oil trade. If it were to be closed, as Iran has threatened several times, oil tankers would be stranded and oil prices could spike even higher.

About a fifth of the world's total oil consumption passes through the strait — around 18-19 million barrels per day, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA).

The price of oil affects the prices consumers pay for everything from fuel to food.

The Israel-Iran tensions are escalating at a time of heightened uncertainty in financial markets, driven by US PresidentDonald Trump'son, off, on-againtariff policies.

The threat of steep levies on imports to the United States has already disrupted global trade and rattled investors. These tariffs have spiked costs for consumers and businesses, slowing economic activity worldwide.

A prolonged conflict between Israel and Iran could worsen these pressures as every 10% increase in the price of oil adds about 0.4% to consumer prices over the subsequent year, a 2019 analysis by FXStreet found.

A multi-front conflict involving Iran-backed groups like Hezbollah in Lebanon or theHouthisin Yemen could paralyze shipping and tourism.

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The Houthis began attacking commercial vessels in the Red Sea in late 2023, another critical area for global trade.

The attacks caused an increase in shipping rates and promptedglobal shipping giants to reroute vesselsaround the Horn of Africa, which added time and huge costs to journeys.

Peter Sand, chief analyst at the Copenhagen-based Xeneta research, said any further rerouting would raise shipping rates, with "carriers likely also pushing for a ‘security surcharge’ on these trades."

Reuters news agency reported that Greece and the UK have advised their merchant shipping fleets to log all voyages through the Strait of Hormuz following the latest escalation.

Disruptions to regional gas supplies, including Israel’s Tamar field or Gulf exports of liquefied natural gas (LNG), would also add pressure to European and Asian energy markets.

Israel's economy is already strained by the ongoing Gaza conflict, and a broader war with Iran could potentially push costs to $120 billion or 20% of GDP, according to Israeli economist Yacov Sheinin.

Iran remains in economic crisis due to international sanctions over its nuclear program, which have limited its oil exports. The Iranian rial remains weak and inflation is stubbornly high at around 40%. Any further disruption to oil exports would ripple globally.

While analysts recently lowered the odds of a downturn, the combination of Trump's tariffs and a lasting Middle East war would significantly raise the risk of a global recession.

Why do countries want rare earth elements?

What do electric vehicles, fighter jets and digital cameras have in common? Rare earth elements. They're wanted everywhere but can only be sourced from a few places.

Rare earth elementsare a group of 17 chemical elements that play a small but irreplaceable role in many essential modern technological products.

Smartphones, flat-screen TVs, digital cameras and LEDs all rely on them but arguably one of their most important uses is in the making of what are known as permanent magnets.

These components can retain their magnetic properties for decades, and because they are so strong, they can be much smaller and lighter than any non-rare-earth alternatives currently available. As a result, they are critical to theconstruction of electric vehiclesand wind turbines.

But the uses for rare earth elements, also known as REEs, do not stop there. They are also key to a huge range ofdefense technologies— from fighter jets to submarines and laser range finders.

This strategic importance, both for commerce and defense, is part of what makes them so valuable. Neodymium and praseodymium, the most important REEs for permanent magnets, currently cost around €55 ($62) per kilogram. Terbium can sell for a kilo price of up to €850.

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The 17 elements are not as "rare"as their collective name might imply. In fact, they're very common, with trace amounts being found all over the world.

The challenge comes in finding areas with high enough concentrations to make extraction financially viable. Right now, according to US Geological Survey data, 70% of the world's rare earth elements are mined inChina, the vast majority coming from the Bayan Obi mine in the country's north.

This single source is orders of magnitude larger than the next biggest deposits on the planet — such as Mount Weld in Australia and Kvanefjeld in Greenland — and contains large quantities of all the rare earth elements used to make magnets.

Once they're out of the ground, they undergo a highly specialized process of separation and refinement to turn them into usable compounds. This too, largely takes place in China, meaning the country doesn't only provide most of the world's rare earth metals, but most of its magnets too.

This monopoly becomes even more powerful with certain types of the 17 REEs, which are split into three groups: Light, medium and heavy, roughly based on their atomic weight.

The lighter elements are typically less valuable and easier to source, with the magnet ingredients neodymium and praseodymium being the exceptions. Between80 and 100% of the EU's supply of elements from this group come from China.

And for the heavier elements, which are much less abundant and require an even more specialized separation process, Europe sources 100% from China.

China's monopoly has many Western nations concerned about future access. So in recent years, the US and EU have responded by starting the process of building internal supplies of rare earth elements and other critical materials.

In 2024, the EU signed theCritical Raw Materials Act, which sets non-binding targets for the volume of critical materials the EU should produce itself by 2030. It also allows the bloc to designate "strategic projects," both within the EU and with close allies such as Norway, as a way to ensure access to funding, boost public acceptance and fast track approvals and permits.

Meanwhile, the US Defense Department has been investing heavily in domestic companies since 2020 and has set a goal of creating an internal "mine-to-magnet" supply chain by 2027.

The US and EU have both expressed interest in untapped sources of rare earth elements.

Ukraine and Greenlandhave become areas of key interest for US PresidentDonald Trump. Both have very large potential deposits that are currently hard to get to, leaving the future of access to rare earth elements for Western countries uncertain.

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Bulgarian woman influencer incites violence against women

Zornitsa Gyutsova is a Bulgarian influencer whose misogynistic online content has sparked outrage in Bulgaria. Why is there a market for her content in the Balkan country and how are some Bulgarians fighting it?

"Women love men who can be violent if need be. That's why they like men who hit them," Bulgarian influencer Zornitsa Gyutsova tells her followers.

Gyutsova suggests that not only do women prefer men who physically assault them, but that this is also the way men should behave because a woman should respect a man's physical power since she is "unable to comprehend his intellectual power."

This is the kind of "advice" that can be found on Gyutsova's social media profiles and in a private group founded by her on Telegram called "Upstanding Man."

Zornitsa Gyutsova offers her followers private chats over video where she teaches them how to "deal with" women — for a fee, of course.

Many influencers, life coaches and other online personalities inBulgariaand elsewhere offer private sessions or courses.

What makes Gyutsova's content stand out from the rest is that its sole purpose is to explain to men that they need to learn to control their partners both psychologically and, "if necessary," physically.

In Gyutsova's view, men in general have been treated badly by women, and women are the ones who exert violence on men, namely by not paying them enough respect.

"The idea of equality is like a worm in people's brains that insists men and women should be partners […] which is so contrary to human nature that it can never work," Gyutsova declared in a long video about her work that was broadcast on Bulgarian National Television.

Although the broadcaster, which is partly financed by taxpayer's money, has since removed the video from its platforms, it has never publicly commented on the case.

Gyutsova's profiles on social media have been gaining traction for several years now.

Screenshots and videos from her private Telegram group chat recently surfaced on social media, triggering a huge backlash in Bulgaria.

Local woman Petya Krasteva was so appalled by Gyutsova's online content that she filed a complaint against Gyutsova with the prosecutor's office.

"On her social media channels, she not only encourages people to degrade women and useviolence against them, she also boasts that she uses the same methods on her child and her cat," she told DW. "I thought to myself: This is not only absolutely unacceptable, it's criminal."

Many other women did the same as Krasteva, only to find out a couple of weeks later that their efforts had been in vain.

In an official reply, the prosecutor's office stated that nothing could be done because Bulgaria's criminal code does not define gender discrimination as a crime and that the issue was a matter for the Commission against Discrimination.

Krasteva promptly lodged a complaint with this commission, but received another negative answer based on the same reasoning.

Although these complaints did not lead to charges being brought against Gyutsova, the backlash did have an impact.

The outcry and the fact that Gyutsova's social media accounts were reported by people who found their content abhorrent, meant that the influencer'sTikTokand Instagram profiles were deactivated.

They were, however, reactivated a short time later.

Krasteva feels that part of the reason why content like Gyutsova's strikes a chord in Bulgaria is that while patriarchal norms and domestic violence are not accepted in the country,Bulgarian society often turns a blind eye to them.

"The other huge problem," she says, "is that as with many other social issues, there is a complete lack of consequences for the perpetrators."

Valentina Dimitrova, a psychologist who works for the Emprove Foundation, a Bulgarian organization that supports women who have suffered domestic violence, holds a similar view.

"Sadly it's embedded in the Bulgarian mindset that we often just accept that things are bad and we do nothing about it," says Dimitrova.

She believes that this is also why many women stay in violent relationships: They simply have no faith in the authorities because time and time again, men who beat or even kill their partners face no legal consequences.

Although some people seem to think that social media content is less problematic than actual abuse in real life, Dimitrova stresses the dangers associated with such content: "It can truly cost a human life."

Misogynistic online content that paints women as lesser human beings and men as oppressed by women is not unique to Bulgaria. Such content has been growing and spreading all over the world in recent years.

Influencers likeAndrew Tate, who faces charges of rape, bodily harm, human trafficking and more, have created a whole movement around this sort of content.

Gyutsova fits neatly into this category of influencer, but what makes her different is that she is a woman.

Dimitrova thinks one issue here is thatfeminismis often misunderstood.

"Feminism does not entail men being suppressed and women controlling them. It means that women can have equal rights and can function as equals to men not only in society but also in their personal relationships," she says.

Dimitrova also believes that the patriarchal notion that men should not be allowed to express emotions is highly problematic. This is reflected in Gyutsova's content, which suggests that men are weak and not "manly" if they dare to express their fears, emotions or feelings.

It's a vicious circle: "Men who are not allowed to express any sort of emotion for fear of being labeled weak don't know what to do when they experience something frustrating in their relationships and so they resort to aggression," says Dimitrova.

Dimitrova suggests that first and foremost, men should receive support and their concerns should not just be swept under the carpet.

She stresses, however, that this support should not validate the inclination to deal with problems by exerting psychological or physical violence on women.

Although the Emprove Foundation focuses primarily on women's rights and issues, it does have a project that focuses on men'smental health— something the foundation says is incredibly important in the fight against gender-based violence.

"Men should be encouraged to connect to a healthy understanding of themselves, so they can build healthy relationships as well," says Dimitrova.

Petya Krasteva firmly believes that even though authorities in Bulgaria rarely provide the support needed in cases like this, society should not remain indifferent.

"We should be as loud as possible when something like this turns up," she says. "We should be perfectly clear that it is unacceptable. That way, other people who come across this content will know that this is not something that society approves of, and that could help them realize that they shouldn't have anything to do with it."

Dimitrova agrees. "We will keep talking about it [this kind of content], calling it out and not tolerating it until the authorities wake up."

Israel attacks put pressure on Germany’s Middle East policies

Trapped between what it sees as a historical responsibility to Israel and international law and diplomacy, Germany is facing a tough foreign policy test after the latest Israeli attacks on Iran.

Germany's foreign policy in the Middle East has always involved a delicate balancing act — a balancing act that just got a little more difficult.Israel's attack on Iranthis week is likely to put further pressure on Germany's close relationship with Israel.

Israel's security is part of Germany's so-called"Staatsräson," or "reason of state."Former Chancellor Angela Merkel popularized the term when she addressed the Knesset, Israel's parliament, in 2008. Although the idea has no official legal standing, Merkel's successor, Olaf Scholz, doubled down on it in the months after the militant group Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023.

More recently though, thesevere humanitarian consequencesof Israel's ongoing offensive in the Gaza Strip have made it difficult for the German government to find a suitable position on the conflict there. Only a few days ago, Germany's newChancellor Friedrich Merzsaid, "frankly speaking, I no longer understand what the goal of the Israeli army in the Gaza Strip is," during a television interview.

"Harming the civilian population to such an extent, as has increasingly been the case in recent days, can no longer be justified as a fight against Hamas terrorism," he told German public broadcaster WDR. Despite those statements though, there have been no consequences. For example, Germany continues to send weapons to Israel.

TheIsraeli governmentis defending its latest strikes against Iran by saying it was acting against "an existential threat." Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz called it a "pre-emptive strike" becauseIranwas close to developing a nuclear bomb, something Israel wanted to prevent happening.

The German government appears to share that opinion. In a press statement issued the morning of the first Israeli strikes, Merz said Israel had "the right to defend its existence and its citizens." Merz had spoken to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on the phone and Netanyahu had informed himof the military action and its objectives.

The press statement also said that the German government has repeatedly expressed concerns about the Iranian nuclear program. Iran's "nuclear program violates the provisions of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and poses a serious threat to the entire region, especially to the State of Israel," the German government statement said.

The goal of any diplomatic intervention and de-escalation, which Germany supports, must be thatIrandoes not develop nuclear weapons, the statement concluded.

That reaction from the German government was to be expected, Hans-Jakob Schindler, senior director of the Netherlands-based Counter Extremism Project, told DW.

"Now it is the direct negotiations between the US and the Iranians that are crucial," Schindler said. "The previous negotiating format — Germany, France, the UK and the US, with the Iranians — is not a part of this any longer. In this conflict the Europeans are increasingly spectators, rather than actors."

Schindler does not believe that the current military escalation will change anything around Germany's position on Israel. "We're not just any other country. We're Germany, with the history of the Holocaust," he explained. "In that sense there's absolutelyno other moral or ethical optionthan expressing solidarity with Israel."

That does not mean that Germany has to approve ofeach Israeli military operationand every Israeli government decision, Schindler continued. "The new German government seems much more prepared to criticize than the previous one," he noted.

Voices critical of the Netanyahu government had recently been growing louder in the German government, including in the governing coalition made up of conservatives from the Christian Democratic Union, or CDU, and the Christian Social Union, as well as the left-centrist Social Democrats, or SPD.

Some members of the government seem to fear being pressured by Israel. At the end of last month, Germany's Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul said Germany would not allow what he called "compulsory solidarity."

During his visit to Cairo, Wadephul commented on the Iranian strikes that came in retaliation for the earlier Israeli ones. "We condemn the indiscriminate Iranian attack on Israeli territory in the strongest possible terms," ​​Wadephul, a member of the CDU, said. "Iran is currently attacking Israel with hundreds of drones. There are initial reports of casualties. These developments are more than worrying." Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Saar had apparently informed him of the attack.

After the Israeli attacks on Iran, SPD foreign policy specialist Rolf Mützenich told German public radio broadcaster Deutschlandfunk that Israel had the right to defend itself. However, that right should be connected to imminent danger and an existential threat. Whether those prerequisites had been present for Israel to base its attack on, would certainly be discussed at the United Nations Security Council, or UNSC.

At the same time, Mützenich also confirmed the dangers posed by the Iranian nuclear program, adding that Teheran had also acted irresponsibly and was also part of the current escalation spiral.

Whether Israel's attack on Iran was legitimate under international law is also being discussed. Law experts say a preemptive strike is actually only permissible under certain, very specific conditions — for example, when there is an imminent threat that cannot be prevented any other way.

Foreign policy spokesperson and co-chair of Germany's Left party, Jan van Aken, described the Israeli attack as "a serious violation of international law, which cannot be justified as self-defense."

The UNSC should meet today in order to decide on the nature of this attack, van Aken said. "All sides must immediately deescalate, also to protect the affected civilian population in Iran and Israel," he added.

Some German politicians also see danger developing inside their own country due to the Israeli attack on Iran. The country's Minister of the Interior Alexander Dobrindt said that, after talking to his counterparts in states around Germany, Israeli and Jewish institutions in Germanywould get extra protection, so they are prepared in case a potential domestic threat develops.

The Israeli Foreign Ministry also said it would close all consulates and embassies worldwide.

Can lab-made blood make up for global shortages?

Many countries lack blood donors. The quest to create an artificial, lab-made blood type that could make up for supply shortages is extremely difficult. But there are some technologies that offer hope.

Blood reserves are in short supply around the world. According to theWorld Health Organization (WHO), blood donation services in many countries are simply unable to meet demands for collecting and storinghealthy blood. Germany'sRed Cross(DRK) estimates that some 112 million annual donations are required to cover the need. The DRK adds that one blood donation can be enough to help up to three injured or extremely ill patients.

Blood donations, however, vary greatly according to national wealth, with 40% of 118.5 million annual donations coming from high-income countries that make up only 16% of the world's population.

Yet, even wealthy countries constantly need to draw from and replenish their blood banks. Germany alone uses some 15,000 units of blood each day. Often, even promises of money, gifts or vouchers are not enough to encourage donor participation.

Although animal blood could theoretically be used in human transfusions if successfully altered with the use of gene-editing technology, the impediments to getting there are incredibly complex. Animal blood cells are significantly different from human blood cells, especially regarding surface structure.

The human immune system would immediately recognize non-altered animal blood cells as foreign and reject them. That is why all immune-related antigens would have to be removed or human antigens added, a highly complicated procedure. These issues have rendered the potential use of animal blood for human transfusions unrealistic in the near future.

At the moment, different approaches to finding a solution to blood shortages are being taken by scientists around the world. Researchers have, for instance, altered blood stem cells, also known as hematopoietic stem cells or HSCs, in ways that allow them to transport more oxygen. They have developed enzymes to neutralize blood type, doing away with the problem ofcompatibility. Artificial, longer-lasting red blood cells are being developed, too.

But the promise of blood substitutes also comes with considerable risk. Such blood can trigger potentially deadly anaphylactic reactions when, for example, the immune system recognizes foreign enzymes or elements contained in artificial blood. Any such blood substitute must replicate all of the functions of biological blood and be universally compatible — similar to naturally occurring Type O blood, which is considered a "universal donor" type.

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Several methods for producing lab-made blood are nearly ready for use; others need more trials, including human testing, to ensure such new blood products are safe. Here, a list of five top prospects:

1. Genetically modifying red blood cells

Researchers at Stanford University and the University of California San Francisco (UCSF) haveused CRISPR gene-editing technologyto develop a new method for altering bone marrow stem cells in a way that increases their production of hemoglobin in red blood cells, allowing these to carry more oxygen.

So far, returns have been modest when compared to biological blood, with researchers only producing roughly 1% of the hemoglobin that a donor would. Still, when the team's trial was completed with no complications or side-effects to participants, it was celebrated as a medical breakthrough.

2. Neutralizing blood type with gut bacteria enzymes

In Denmark and Sweden, scientists have found an enzyme in intestinal bacteria that can remove particular elements from blood cells, namely the ABO blood type antigens that determine the different biological blood groups, among them A and B. When these determiners are removed, blood cells become Type O, meaning they can be used for almost every possible patient.

Still, until now scientists have been unable to remove the determiners in their entirety, leaving small traces behind and thus posing a risk of allergic reaction in some individuals. Another major hurdle is the removal of the so-called rhesus factor — a surface protein key in determining blood compatibility.

3. Nano RBCs: Microscopic artificial blood cells

Researchers at Penn State University in the US are currently producing tiny, artificial red blood cells (RBC) that function just like the real thing. Although nano-RBCs are only one-tenth the size of normal blood cells they can transport just as much oxygen. These little cells are extremely flexible and can even move through small blood vessels. They would also seem ideally suited for emergency situations and natural catastrophes as they can be stored at room temperature for long periods of time.

4. Military application for enhanced performance

The US military is backing research that loads up red blood cells with special nanoparticles. The Pentagon's Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, better known as DARPA, is creating what it calls a "Red Blood Cell Factory" that will help soldiers cope with lack of oxygen at altitude, in extreme heat or cold, and when affected by pathogens or endemic illnesses such as malaria. China is reportedly conducting similar research.

5. Using blood banks to create a universal donor blood

Researchers at Japan's Nara Medical University began testing artificial hemoglobin in humans in March 2025. Scientists there are harvesting hemoglobin from unused blood bank reserves. They are efficient in transporting oxygen and can be used with any blood type. Initial data was published in the June issue of theJournal of Artificial Organs.The report said that some test persons developed a slight fever but that the results were so promising that researchers are hoping to make the method available for use by 2030.

All of these approaches are being pursued at great pace. Yet, it will still be years before safe artificial blood can be produced at scale.

Until then, human blood donations remain essential for transfusions to continue.

This article was originally written in German and translated by Jon Shelton.